The latest price moves in bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets in context for August 30, 2022. First Mover is CoinDesk’s daily newsletter that contextualizes the latest actions in the crypto markets.Read MoreCoinDesk
Price Point: As investor sentiment began to stabilize Tuesday, bitcoin held the $20,000 level while altcoins Ether and Avalanche’s AVAX rose.
Market Moves: Both ether and bitcoin’s perpetual futures open interest ratios stood at lifetime highs above 0.03 and 0.02 at press time. “The rising ratio indicates open interest is outpacing market size and increases the risk of volatility,” one researcher said.
Chart of the Day: Over 5,000 BTC that have been dormant for at least seven years have been moved in the past 24 hours.
This article originally appeared in First Mover, CoinDesk’s daily newsletter putting the latest moves in crypto markets in context. Subscribe to get it in your inbox every day.
Bitcoin (BTC) has managed to hold the $20,000 level after dipping to lows of $19,500 on Monday. The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value is up 3% over the last 24 hours.
From Friday’s peak to Sunday’s low, bitcoin lost 10% whilst ether lost 17%.
Avalanche’s AVAX token recovered, up 13% on the day after trading down Monday to its lowest price since July 13 after a self-described “whistleblower” website accused Ava Labs, the company behind the Avalanche blockchain, of paying lawyers to hurt competitors and keep regulators at bay. Since then, Avalanche’s founder, Emin G?n Sirer denied that his company has been involved in a behind-the-scenes smear campaign against competitors of Avalanche.
Cosmos’s ATOM was up 12% and the FLOW token surged 16%.
In other news, FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried said in a tweet Monday that the crypto exchange had no plans to acquire rival Huobi. Speculation had emerged that FTX, which has extended financial lifelines to several troubled crypto companies, might acquire Huobi.
Huobi’s native token, HT, declined about 6% following Bankman-Fried’s tweet.
There are no losers in CoinDesk 20 today.
By Omkar Godbole
Traders love volatility and Ethereum’s ether (ETH) and bitcoin (BTC) could soon offer plenty of it. That’s the message from observers tracking the so-called open interest leverage ratio.
The metric is calculated by dividing the amount of dollars locked in open perpetual futures contracts by the market capitalization of the underlying cryptocurrency. The ratio represents the degree of leverage relative to the market size or sensitivity of the spot price to the derivative market activity.
Both ether and bitcoin’s perpetual futures open interest ratios stood at lifetime highs above 0.03 and 0.02 at press time, according to data sourced from Decentral Park Capital and blockchain analytics firm Glassnode.
“The rising ratio indicates open interest is outpacing market size and increases the risk of volatility due to future [long/short] squeezes,” Decentral’s researcher Lewis Harland said.
Perpetuals are futures with no expiry. A futures squeeze refers to a sudden and rapid move in an asset’s price caused by bears or bulls abandoning their positions. A short squeeze is a rally fueled by sellers dumping their bearish bets (shorts). A long squeeze is a decline caused by bulls closing their bullish bets (longs). The higher the leverage ratio, the bigger the impact of long/short squeeze on the asset’s price.
Crypto research firm Delphi Digital’s Andrew Krohn voiced a similar opinion in Monday’s client note, saying the ratio suggests that open interest is large relative to the market size and “implies a higher risk of market squeezes, liquidation cascades or deleveraging events.”
The futures market involves leverage, meaning a trader can take a large long/short position by depositing a relatively small amount of money, called a margin, while the exchange provides the rest of the trade value. That exposes futures traders to liquidations – forced closure of long/short positions due to margin shortages often caused by the market moving in the opposite direction of the trade.
These forced closures put upward/downward pressure on prices, leading to increased volatility. The greater the degree of leverage relative to the market size, the bigger the risk of liquidations injecting volatility into the market.
Read the full story here.
Dormant Bitcoins on the Move
By Omkar Godbole
Data tracked by lookintobitcoin.com shows over 5,000 BTC that have been dormant for at least seven years have been moved in the past 24 hours.
Historically, the market has seen increased downside volatility with the movement of coins that old and of that size, according to Philip Swift, founder of lookintobitcoin.com.
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