Good morning, and welcome to First Mover. I’m Bradley Keoun, here to take you through the latest in crypto markets, news and insights. (First Mover lead author Lyllah Ledesma is in Paris for the EthCC conference. Stay tuned later in the week for her dispatch from the conference.)
Price Point: Bitcoin’s latest rally takes price toward $24,000.
Zipmex becomes latest crypto-industry casualty, suspending withdrawals, Omkar Godbole reports.
There’s something missing at the Federal Reserve these days: urgency. Helene Braun examines how the Jerome Powell Fed is different from the Paul Volcker Fed in the 1980s.
Market Moves: Solana wallet growth is outpacing that of rivals, Shaurya Malwa reports.
This web version of today’s First Mover newsletter was produced by Sage D. Young.
A rally in crypto markets over the past couple weeks has suddenly built into something substantial, with bitcoin (BTC) climbing to its highest price in a month, now approaching $24,000. The cryptocurrency has traded higher on seven of the past eight days.
Analysts attribute the recent gains to speculation that the Federal Reserve won’t be as aggressive in tightening monetary conditions as feared just a couple weeks ago, Shaurya Malwa reports. For most of this year, the Fed has been raising interest rates to tamp down inflation running at its fastest pace in four decades, and the expectation of higher borrowing costs have been pushing down valuations for risky assets from stocks to cryptocurrencies.
Our economics reporter, Helene Braun, published a fascinating story showing how the Fed hasn’t been this far behind the curve on fighting inflation for decades, and some top economists say the situation is looking precarious. Braun dug through transcripts of Federal Reserve meetings during the 1980s – the last major inflation flare-up – to illustrate just how worried members of the Paul Volcker-led central bank were at that time. Such urgency appears missing from the current Jerome Powell-led Fed, at least for now.
With that as the backdrop, there’s always the possibility that the Fed might be forced to address the growing risk that the soaring inflation turns into a real emergency.
Crypto analysts remain cautious despite the recent vigor creeping into the market.
“If the upside momentum stalls, as it did in February and March this year, we should be prepared for a sharp increase in selling,” Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro senior market analyst, wrote in an email.
Despite the rally, the bitcoin price is still just one-third of its all-time high price of $69,000 reached in late 2021, and the crypto industry continues to suffer. Wednesday brought fresh news of another player suffering from the market downturn, with the exchange Zipmex suspending withdrawals, as reported by Omkar Godbole.
Elsewhere in digital-asset markets, dogecoin’s DOGE surged 11%, leading gains among major cryptocurrencies in the past 24 hours. No technical catalysts for the move seemed to exist, but developers for the network polled community members for their opinions on a Dogecoin-centric hackathon event in November – which may suggest future technical development.
Prices of Cardano’s ADA and XRP rose as much as 8%. BNB added 2.7%, while Solana’s SOL traded flat after a nearly 30% rally over the past week. Total crypto market capitalization increased 4%, rising above $1.1 trillion.
Outside of majors, ApeCoin’s APE surged 8% as buying momentum from last week’s metaverse game demo continued. Shiba Inu’s SHIB jumped 10% despite the lack of a technical catalyst.
By Shaurya Malwa
Active wallets on the Solana network grew 58% this year, outpacing some other blockchains despite a market-wide price decline.
Figures for “New Daily Addresses” on Solana consistently grew its user base throughout the bear market, research by CoinMarketCap that cited data from Glassnode and The Block showed.
New Daily Addresses refer to first-time wallet users on any blockchain network, which can signal growth and adoption. On Solana, new users peaked at over 400,000 in May before gradually declining to 240,000 users this week. These figures are a jump from December 2021’s levels of 150,000 to 170,000 new users each day.
Daily active wallets have similarly climbed this year, with over 32 million active users in June and 37 million in May. This rose from an average of 20 million active users in the first four months of 2022.
However, data suggests the activity did not amount to inflows. Total value locked (TVL) on decentralized finance (DeFi) applications running on Solana dropped to $2.9 billion this week from May’s $6 billion figure. Solana TVL peaked at $14 billion in December 2021.
Solana’s native SOL tokens have grown amid rising wallet usage. The tokens added nearly 34% over the past week and are up 30% in the past month, despite market-wide declines and volatility. In comparison, bitcoin (BTC) has risen by 14% in the past month.
Read the full story here: Solana’s New Daily Address Growth Outpaces Other Blockchains, SOL Jumps
The Sudden Rise of EVM-Compatible ZK Rollups: A trio of major announcements about Ethereum Virtual Machine-compatible zero-knowledge rollups came out from Polygon, Matter Labs and Scroll this week.
Polygon Deploys ZK Rollup Testnet; Eyes Mainnet Launch: Polygon zkEVM, the team’s EVM-compatible ZK Rollup, describes it as “major leap forward” in the world of Zero Knowledge technology.
UK Regulators to Introduce Rules for Stablecoins in New Markets Bill: The much-anticipated financial services and markets bill to be presented to the country’s parliament includes rules for the use of stablecoins as a means of payment.
Dogecoin, Bitcoin Lead Recovery Among Majors, But Some Analysts Warn of Selling Pressure: Despite the gains over the past few days, some warned that investing in cryptocurrencies remains a “risky business.”
Japan’s Self Regulatory Project in Peril as Financial Regulator Reprimands Crypto Advocacy Group, Financial Times Report: The country’s crypto self-regulatory body JVCEA has received an “extremely stern warning” from financial regulators over delays in anti-money laundering rules and poor governance.
Binance.US Starts Affiliate Marketing Program Taking Aim at Coinbase: A Binance.US representative pointed to recent reports that rival exchange Coinbase is shuttering its affiliate program.
Solana’s New Daily Address Growth Outpaces Other Blockchains, SOL Jumps: Data shows that active wallets using the popular network have grown by over 58% since the start of this year.
Tribe Capital Hires Republic Capital Co-Founder Revsin as Managing Partner: Boris Revsin will oversee equity and crypto funds plus Tribe’s new $25 million crypto incubator.
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