The Bitcoin (BTC) market registered an impressive 4% price bounce on Friday, following dovish policy comments by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The premier cryptocurrency now trades above $116,000, nullifying earlier losses seen in the past week. Interestingly, prominent market analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has outlined the implications of this price rebound regarding the BTC price trajectory.
In an X post on August 22, Severino explains that Bitcoin showed resilience in its price recovery on Friday by bouncing off the lower boundary of a long-standing ascending channel, tagged as the “Wall of Worry.” Notably, this lower boundary has acted as a key support zone for the leading cryptocurrency, stretching as far back as November 2023.
Following each bounce off this support, Bitcoin has popularly reached the upper boundary, raising many expectations of a price surge at this moment. According to the channel analysis, Severino shows that the immediate technical target lies at the median line around $144,000, representing a roughly 24% advance from current levels.
Interestingly, should bullish momentum persist, the next major resistance zone would align near the upper boundary of the channel at $183,000. However, a decisive break below the ascending channel would invalidate the bullish structure, potentially triggering a broader retracement toward the $95,000–$100,000 region.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $115,641, reflecting a 3.21% gain in the last 24 hours. This positive performance is accompanied by a 38.78% gain in daily trading volume, currently valued at $80.33 billion. However, losses of 1.76% and 1.94% on the weekly and monthly charts indicate that new market entrants are yet to break even.
Meanwhile, crypto analyst Jordan Pivato is predicting the current market cycle to peak on October 21, 2025. This projection is based on historical data showing that Bitcoin cycles tend to extend slightly longer with each iteration. While the previous cycle lasted 548 days, Pivato estimates the ongoing one will span 550 days, placing the top in late October.
He further points to Bitcoin’s strong seasonal performance in October as additional support for his call. Historically, October has been Bitcoin’s most bullish month, logging gains in six of the past twelve years and recording just two losing Octobers in that period. On average, Bitcoin has delivered a 46.72% monthly gain in October, with a median increase of 10.82%, making it the most favorable month in the calendar year for BTC performance.
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